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Markets & Geopolitics

Macro, energy, currencies and the geopolitics that move portfolios.

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15 articles

South Africa Overtakes Spain: Citrus Powerhouse Becomes

Rainer Michael Preiss · May 14, 2026

South Africa has achieved a significant agricultural milestone, overtaking Spain to become the world’s largest citrus exporter by volume.

Oil Market Strategy: WTI & Brent for Investors

Rainer Michael Preiss · April 9, 2026

For the private investor, the oil market often feels like a distant, monolithic giant—dominated by geopolitical intrigue, OPEC+ maneuvering, and high-frequency algorithms.

The Strait of Hormuz Oil Shock: Portfolio Defense for

Rainer Michael Preiss · April 6, 2026

The Strait of Hormuz is not merely a chokepoint on a map. It is the jugular of global energy markets. Approximately 20% of the world’s petroleum—over 17 million barrels per day—flows through this 33-kilometer waterway…

Stagflation & Investment Portfolios / What Private

Rainer Michael Preiss · March 18, 2026

The war or special military operation in Iran could lead to stagflation. Stagflation represents one of the most challenging macroeconomic environments for investors, combining weak growth with persistent inflation.

Oil Investing Strategy: Iran Conflict & Energy

Rainer Michael Preiss · March 11, 2026

Publication Briefing for Private Clients and Global Investors Oil remains one of the most important and actively traded commodities in global markets.

Investing in Oil & Energy: US-Iran Conflict

Rainer Michael Preiss · March 6, 2026

The escalation of tensions between the United States and Iran has once again placed global energy markets at the center of geopolitical risk. Oil prices historically react quickly to military conflict in the Middle East…

Iran Conflict: Portfolio Construction & Risk

Rainer Michael Preiss · March 3, 2026

The evolving geopolitical tensions involving Iran represent a material but episodic risk factor for global markets. For private clients, the key is disciplined portfolio construction rather than reactive trading.

Japanese Yen (JPY) Outlook 2026 - A Tactical Comeback,

Rainer Michael Preiss · February 23, 2026

After one of the longest depreciation cycles in modern FX history, the Japanese yen (JPY) enters 2026 at an inflection point. While structural headwinds remain, the balance of risks is shifting.

Silver Sell-Off: What It Means for Investors

Rainer Michael Preiss · January 31, 2026

The election of the 47th President of the United States, Donald J. Trump, marked a significant political transition that financial markets moved quickly to assess.

The Great Rewiring: Capital Rotation into the Physical

Rainer Michael Preiss · January 1, 2026

As we settle into 2026, the global economy is bifurcating. While the headline indices remain dominated by intangible software and service revenues, the industrial base required to support these valuations is flashing…

How AI Is Changing Financial Markets

Rainer Michael Preiss · July 31, 2025

George Soros once observed that the greatest profits in financial markets are often made when conditions shift from terribly awful to merely or just bad. Ironically, this is also the point when most investors are least…

The Risk of the U.S. Dollar in Global Investment Portfolios

Rainer Michael Preiss · July 11, 2025

As of mid‑2025, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down around 10–11% year-to-date — its worst first-half performance since 1973. This sharp decline raises pressing questions for global investors about the sustainability of…

Gold, Silver & the Euro: 2026 Macro Chessboard

Rainer Michael Preiss · May 2, 2025

Understanding today’s global financial markets requires recognizing that we are no longer playing by old rules.

Johor Singapore Special Economic Zone: The King, Forest

Rainer Michael Preiss · January 26, 2025

The Johor Singapore special zone could a game changer not just for Singapore and Malaysia but the wider ASEAN region.

From Vision to Reality: The Johor-Singapore SEZ as

Rainer Michael Preiss · January 14, 2025

The Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone (JS-SEZ) presents a compelling narrative of regional collaboration, economic transformation, and investment opportunities.